Friday, October 15, 2021

How To Use Trend Trading With Supply And Demand zones (Chapter 3)

I write this article from my own experience after practicing trend trading with Supply and Demand zones for months. Hope you can gain more knowledge after trading this strategy. In this chapter, I will guide you on how to enter orders and the reason behind them. And the real trading orders will be in chapter 4.

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Conditions of the strategy

– I use the daily chart to analyze and predict the price because I'm not a day trader. I don't focus 100% of my time on making money in the markets. So I use the daily chart to slow things down. – Some of my favorite currency pairs are USD/JPY, EUR/USD, NZD/USD, GOLD (XAU/USD). Because everyone has their strengths, I'm only focusing on a few currency pairs that I understand well. If you’re in favor of the currency pairs above, EUR/JPY or GBP/JPY is also worth a try. [caption id="attachment_16587" align="aligncenter" width="1280"]Trading conditions for Trend and Supply Demand strategy Trading conditions for Trend and Supply Demand strategy[/caption] - I manage money according to the Risk/Reward ratio (R/R). There is a specific guide below to help you set up Stop Loss (SL) and Take Profit (TP). If you still don’t understand the uptrend and downtrend clearly, please read the two articles below. + What is an uptrend? How to trade Forex effectively in an uptrend. + What is a downtrend in Forex? How to trade Forex with a downtrend. – We will trade with 2 steps: + Step 1: Identify the main Trend and Supply and Demand zones created by the market. + Step 2: Wait for the price to retest the Supply or Demand zone and enter an order. In an uptrend, we’ll BUY. On the contrary, we’ll SELL in a downtrend.

Detailed guide on how to trade

BUY order

First, you need to identify the Uptrend and the Demand Zone. The theory goes like this. During the increasing process in an uptrend, the market will create demand zones. We will open BUY orders in these zones. [caption id="attachment_16588" align="aligncenter" width="1280"]How to enter BUY orders How to enter BUY orders[/caption] For detailed example with USD/JPY (from January 27, 2021 to February 17, 2021) The USD/JPY entered an uptrend period. Identified and drew the Demand zone on the chart (yellow area). My job was to wait for the price to come back and retest this zone and open a BUY order. [caption id="attachment_16589" align="aligncenter" width="1920"]Identify the Demand zone in the Uptrend Identify the Demand zone in the Uptrend[/caption] The price retested the Demand zone that I drew and created a trading signal with a Doji candlestick. + Opened a BUY order right away. + Set the SL below the Demand zone. + Set the TP at the previous top. [caption id="attachment_16590" align="aligncenter" width="1920"]Open a BUY trade Open a BUY trade[/caption] The price bounced back to the TP point. In this trade, I won 2R. [caption id="attachment_16591" align="aligncenter" width="1920"]A nice result with 2R profit A nice result with 2R profit[/caption]

SELL order

In theory, the price keeps falling and enters a Downtrend. Identify the Supply zones that the market has created. Wait for the signal to open the SELL order. [caption id="attachment_16592" align="alignnone" width="1280"]How to open SELL orders How to open SELL orders[/caption] For specific example with USD/JPY (from July 5, 2021 to August 5, 2021) USD/JPY was in a downtrend. This decreasing process created the Supply Zone (yellow area) on the chart. This was the main zone I waited for a SELL order. [caption id="attachment_16593" align="aligncenter" width="1920"]Identify the Supply zone in a downtrend Identify the Supply zone in a downtrend[/caption] The price moved back to the Supply zone and showed signs of reversal. + Entered a SELL order here. + Set the SL above the Supply zone. + Set the TP at the previous bottom. [caption id="attachment_16594" align="aligncenter" width="1920"]Enter a SELL order in the Supply zone Enter a SELL order in the Supply zone[/caption] Result: This SELL order has reached the TP with 2.5R. [caption id="attachment_16595" align="aligncenter" width="1920"]Sell order results with 2.5R profit Sell order results with 2.5R profit[/caption]

The lessons I draw after using Trend trading and Supply Demand

Trend is the most important

Remember that the main trend of the market is the first thing you should pay attention to. Then come to the Supply and Demand zones. If it is Uptrend, find the Demand zone. Conversely, in the downtrend, you focus on the Supply zone. [caption id="attachment_16596" align="aligncenter" width="1920"]Identifying the main trend of the market is the top priority Identifying the main trend of the market is the top priority[/caption]

Trading signals

Balanced candlesticks like Doji in the Supply Demand zone are good signals for you to consider opening an order. We will discuss this in detail on the next chapter. When the market has no good signal for you to BUY or SELL at the Supply and Demand zones, ignore it. Be patient to wait for a really nice one. Do not rush because you will always have another chance.

The signal when Supply and Demand zones could be broken

Be careful with the Engulfing candlestick pattern or the inverted Pin Bar candlesticks. When the above signals appear, you can consider closing the order. [caption id="attachment_16597" align="aligncenter" width="1280"]The signal when Supply and Demand zones could be broken The signal when Supply and Demand zones could be broken[/caption]

How long do the Supply and Demand zones become meaningless?

In theory with the daily chart, if the market does not return to the Supply or Demand zone within 1 month, that zone will become meaningless. But in reality and my opinion, we will have a plan to execute orders according to how the market reacts.

Swap between Supply and Demand

When the Supply zone is broken, it will change its role to the Demand zone and vice versa. This is quite similar to the support and resistance. [caption id="attachment_16598" align="aligncenter" width="1280"]Swap between Supply and Demand Swap between Supply and Demand[/caption]

Conclusion

So we have finished the Trend + Supply/Demand strategy. Please read it again and practice on the Tradingview basic account. Don’t worry. The basic account is completely free. I will continue to show how to trade Forex and Gold for real on MT4 in the next article. There will be a detailed analysis together with trading psychology too. Please wait for it.

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